Saturday 30 December 2017, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
57%
23%
19%
Home win
57.5%
Draw
23.0%
Away win
19.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.0% | 4.34 | — | — |
| Spal | 19.5% | 5.13 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.6% | 17.89 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.3% | 5.18 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.5% | 5.41 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| No | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Spal | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Spal | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.6
|
4.6
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.1
|
10.8
|
5.4
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
9.9
|
5.2
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.1
|
6.4
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.0
|
3.1
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jul 2020
Sampdoria
3-0
Spal
Nov 2019
Spal
0-1
Sampdoria
Mar 2019
Spal
1-2
Sampdoria
Oct 2018
Sampdoria
2-1
Spal
May 2018
Spal
3-1
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.