Sunday 20 May 2018, 19:00
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Full time
33%
28%
39%
Home win
32.8%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
39.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal | 32.8% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.9% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 39.3% | 2.55 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.2% | 12.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.2% | 3.82 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.2% | 3.82 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.1% | 8.24 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| No | 46.6% | 2.14 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal / Draw | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Spal / Sampdoria | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.2
|
9.5
|
7.0
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
8.4
|
13.3
|
8.6
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.6
|
7.7
|
5.2
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
3.1
|
2.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
1.0
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jul 2020
Sampdoria
3-0
Spal
Nov 2019
Spal
0-1
Sampdoria
Mar 2019
Spal
1-2
Sampdoria
Oct 2018
Sampdoria
2-1
Spal
Dec 2017
Sampdoria
2-0
Spal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.