Sunday 29 April 2018, 16:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
31%
30%
38%
Home win
31.3%
Draw
30.4%
Away win
38.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona | 31.3% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Spal | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.5% | 8.67 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.7% | 5.35 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.6% | 13.17 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
| No | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona / Draw | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Hellas Verona / Spal | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Spal | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.5
|
11.9
|
7.6
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.4
|
14.1
|
7.9
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
5.9
|
7.0
|
4.1
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.0
|
2.4
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.