Skip to content
Wednesday 18 April 2018, 21:45 Marc'Antonio Bentegodi Full time
31% 28% 41%
Home win
30.6%
Draw
28.4%
Away win
41.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hellas Verona 30.6% 3.27
Draw 28.4% 3.52
Sassuolo 41.0% 2.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.9% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.1% 11.02
Over 1.5 71.8% 1.39
Under 1.5 28.2% 3.54
Over 2.5 45.3% 2.21
Under 2.5 54.7% 1.83
Over 3.5 24.0% 4.17
Under 3.5 76.0% 1.32
Over 4.5 10.7% 9.33
Under 4.5 89.3% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.1% 1.96
No 48.9% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hellas Verona / Draw 59.0% 1.69
Hellas Verona / Sassuolo 71.6% 1.40
Draw / Sassuolo 69.4% 1.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.1
10.5
7.6
3.4
1.2
0.3
1
8.7
13.5
8.6
3.9
1.3
0.4
2
5.4
7.2
4.9
2.2
0.7
0.2
3
2.0
2.7
1.9
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.6
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hellas Verona goals. Columns: Sassuolo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.