Saturday 31 March 2018, 19:00
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Full time
10%
18%
72%
Home win
10.3%
Draw
18.1%
Away win
71.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 10.3% | 9.72 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.1% | 5.52 | — | — |
| Napoli | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.0% | 19.88 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.1% | 5.53 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.0% | 4.99 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| No | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo / Draw | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
| Sassuolo / Napoli | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Napoli | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.0
|
10.0
|
12.2
|
9.4
|
5.5
|
2.5
|
| 1 |
3.0
|
8.6
|
9.4
|
7.3
|
4.2
|
2.0
|
| 2 |
1.4
|
3.1
|
3.7
|
2.8
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
0.4
|
0.8
|
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Napoli
1-0
Sassuolo
Aug 2025
Sassuolo
0-2
Napoli
Feb 2024
Sassuolo
1-6
Napoli
Aug 2023
Napoli
2-0
Sassuolo
Feb 2023
Sassuolo
0-2
Napoli
Oct 2022
Napoli
4-0
Sassuolo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.