Saturday 17 March 2018, 19:00
Dacia Arena
Full time
53%
25%
22%
Home win
53.2%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
21.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.2% | 3.96 | — | — |
| Sassuolo | 21.5% | 4.64 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.83 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.7% | 4.21 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.2% | 3.43 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.1% | 7.10 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| No | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese / Draw | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Udinese / Sassuolo | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Sassuolo | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
5.9
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.6
|
12.0
|
5.7
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.6
|
9.7
|
4.9
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.5
|
5.6
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.4
|
2.4
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Udinese
1-2
Sassuolo
Sep 2025
Sassuolo
3-1
Udinese
Apr 2024
Sassuolo
1-1
Udinese
Dec 2023
Udinese
2-2
Sassuolo
Feb 2023
Udinese
2-2
Sassuolo
Sep 2022
Sassuolo
1-3
Udinese
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.