Sunday 4 February 2018, 16:00
Dacia Arena
Full time
38%
28%
34%
Home win
38.0%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
34.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.6% | 3.63 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 34.4% | 2.90 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.8% | 12.77 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.1% | 3.98 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.4% | 3.65 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.9% | 7.73 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| No | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese / Draw | 65.6% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Udinese / AC Milan | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.8
|
8.4
|
5.9
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.9
|
13.1
|
8.0
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.6
|
8.4
|
5.4
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.0
|
3.8
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.3
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
AC Milan
0-3
Udinese
Sep 2025
Udinese
0-3
AC Milan
Apr 2025
Udinese
0-4
AC Milan
Oct 2024
AC Milan
1-0
Udinese
Jan 2024
Udinese
2-3
AC Milan
Nov 2023
AC Milan
0-1
Udinese
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.