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Wednesday 24 January 2018, 19:30 Stadio Olimpico Full time
3–0
HT 1–0
64% 19% 17%
Home win
64.5%
Draw
18.7%
Away win
16.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lazio 64.5% 1.55
Draw 18.7% 5.34
Udinese 16.8% 5.95

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.2% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.8% 35.22
Over 1.5 89.1% 1.12
Under 1.5 10.9% 9.18
Over 2.5 72.0% 1.39
Under 2.5 28.0% 3.57
Over 3.5 51.2% 1.95
Under 3.5 48.8% 2.05
Over 4.5 31.9% 3.14
Under 4.5 68.1% 1.47

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 65.5% 1.53
No 34.5% 2.90

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lazio / Draw 83.2% 1.20
Lazio / Udinese 81.3% 1.23
Draw / Udinese 35.5% 2.81

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.8
2.5
1.8
0.8
0.2
0.1
1
5.5
7.8
4.6
1.9
0.6
0.1
2
7.5
9.2
5.7
2.3
0.7
0.2
3
6.2
7.7
4.7
2.0
0.6
0.1
4
3.9
4.8
3.0
1.2
0.4
0.1
5
1.9
2.4
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
Rows: Lazio goals. Columns: Udinese goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.