Sunday 21 January 2018, 16:00
Dacia Arena
Full time
59%
23%
19%
Home win
58.6%
Draw
22.6%
Away win
18.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.6% | 4.42 | — | — |
| Spal | 18.8% | 5.32 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.34 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.9% | 5.28 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.9% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.9% | 5.29 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| No | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese / Draw | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Udinese / Spal | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Spal | 41.4% | 2.41 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
4.5
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.0
|
10.6
|
5.2
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.5
|
9.9
|
5.2
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.3
|
6.6
|
3.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.1
|
3.3
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jul 2020
Spal
0-3
Udinese
Nov 2019
Udinese
0-0
Spal
May 2019
Udinese
3-2
Spal
Dec 2018
Spal
0-0
Udinese
Aug 2017
Spal
3-2
Udinese
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.