Sunday 10 December 2017, 16:00
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Full time
50%
28%
22%
Home win
49.9%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
22.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal | 49.9% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.9% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Hellas Verona | 22.3% | 4.49 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.0% | 9.99 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.5% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.7% | 4.62 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.3% | 10.74 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
| No | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spal / Draw | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Spal / Hellas Verona | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Hellas Verona | 50.1% | 1.99 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.0
|
7.6
|
3.8
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.0
|
13.1
|
5.6
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.1
|
9.1
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.0
|
4.5
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.