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Monday 4 December 2017, 22:00 Marc'Antonio Bentegodi Full time
36% 30% 35%
Home win
35.8%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
34.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hellas Verona 35.8% 2.80
Draw 29.6% 3.37
Genoa 34.6% 2.89

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.6% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.4% 9.61
Over 1.5 68.7% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.3% 3.19
Over 2.5 41.5% 2.41
Under 2.5 58.5% 1.71
Over 3.5 20.9% 4.78
Under 3.5 79.1% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.9% 11.27
Under 4.5 91.1% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.4% 2.07
No 51.6% 1.94

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hellas Verona / Draw 65.4% 1.53
Hellas Verona / Genoa 70.4% 1.42
Draw / Genoa 64.2% 1.56

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.4
10.3
6.5
2.5
0.7
0.2
1
10.6
14.0
7.6
3.0
0.9
0.2
2
6.7
7.8
4.5
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
2.7
3.1
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
0.8
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hellas Verona goals. Columns: Genoa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.