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Sunday 17 December 2017, 19:00 Stadio Ciro Vigorito Full time
1–2
HT 0–0
24% 29% 46%
Home win
24.1%
Draw
29.4%
Away win
46.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Benevento 24.1% 4.14
Draw 29.4% 3.40
Spal 46.4% 2.15

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.5% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.5% 8.73
Over 1.5 66.2% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.8% 2.96
Over 2.5 38.7% 2.58
Under 2.5 61.3% 1.63
Over 3.5 18.8% 5.33
Under 3.5 81.2% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.6% 13.08
Under 4.5 92.4% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.4% 2.25
No 55.6% 1.80

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Benevento / Draw 53.6% 1.87
Benevento / Spal 70.6% 1.42
Draw / Spal 75.9% 1.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.5
13.6
9.6
4.3
1.4
0.4
1
8.8
13.6
8.6
3.9
1.3
0.3
2
4.3
5.7
3.8
1.7
0.6
0.2
3
1.3
1.7
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
4
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Benevento goals. Columns: Spal goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.