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Sunday 3 December 2017, 13:30 Stadio Ciro Vigorito Full time
2–2
HT 0–1
12% 23% 65%
Home win
11.6%
Draw
23.1%
Away win
65.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Benevento 11.6% 8.62
Draw 23.1% 4.32
AC Milan 65.3% 1.53

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.5% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.5% 10.54
Over 1.5 70.2% 1.43
Under 1.5 29.8% 3.35
Over 2.5 43.5% 2.30
Under 2.5 56.5% 1.77
Over 3.5 22.5% 4.44
Under 3.5 77.5% 1.29
Over 4.5 9.8% 10.17
Under 4.5 90.2% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.1% 2.55
No 60.9% 1.64

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Benevento / Draw 34.7% 2.88
Benevento / AC Milan 76.9% 1.30
Draw / AC Milan 88.4% 1.13

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.5
15.4
14.4
8.6
3.9
1.4
1
4.9
10.5
8.9
5.4
2.4
0.9
2
1.7
3.1
2.8
1.7
0.7
0.3
3
0.4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.2
0.1
4
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Benevento goals. Columns: AC Milan goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.