Saturday 30 December 2017, 13:30
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
45%
27%
28%
Home win
45.2%
Draw
26.5%
Away win
28.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 28.2% | 3.54 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.89 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.5% | 4.25 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.3% | 7.02 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| No | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / AC Milan | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
6.9
|
4.5
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.4
|
12.6
|
7.0
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.8
|
9.3
|
5.5
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.1
|
4.8
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.9
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Fiorentina
1-1
AC Milan
Oct 2025
AC Milan
2-1
Fiorentina
Apr 2025
AC Milan
2-2
Fiorentina
Oct 2024
Fiorentina
2-1
AC Milan
Mar 2024
Fiorentina
1-2
AC Milan
Nov 2023
AC Milan
1-0
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.