Sunday 17 December 2017, 16:00
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
61%
23%
16%
Home win
61.5%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
15.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.8% | 4.39 | — | — |
| Genoa | 15.8% | 6.35 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.8% | 14.81 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.6% | 4.42 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.1% | 6.63 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| No | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / Genoa | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 38.5% | 2.59 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.8
|
4.7
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.2
|
10.9
|
4.5
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.3
|
9.8
|
4.3
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.3
|
6.3
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.5
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Fiorentina
0-0
Genoa
Nov 2025
Genoa
2-2
Fiorentina
Feb 2025
Fiorentina
2-1
Genoa
Oct 2024
Genoa
0-1
Fiorentina
Apr 2024
Fiorentina
1-1
Genoa
Aug 2023
Genoa
1-4
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.