Sunday 28 January 2018, 19:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
31%
24%
45%
Home win
30.8%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
45.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 30.8% | 3.25 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Lazio | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.6% | 21.89 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.1% | 6.20 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.4% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.5% | 4.45 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| No | 35.8% | 2.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Lazio | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Lazio | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.6
|
6.4
|
6.3
|
3.7
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
5.1
|
10.8
|
9.1
|
5.4
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
| 2 |
4.1
|
7.4
|
6.6
|
3.9
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
2.0
|
3.6
|
3.2
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
1.3
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Lazio
1-0
AC Milan
Nov 2025
AC Milan
1-0
Lazio
Mar 2025
AC Milan
1-2
Lazio
Aug 2024
Lazio
2-2
AC Milan
Mar 2024
Lazio
0-1
AC Milan
Sep 2023
AC Milan
2-0
Lazio
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.