Sunday 28 January 2018, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
31%
30%
39%
Home win
31.3%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
38.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 31.3% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.9% | 3.34 | — | — |
| Udinese | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.9% | 9.14 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.6% | 3.07 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.1% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.8% | 5.05 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.2% | 12.15 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| No | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Genoa / Udinese | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Udinese | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.9
|
11.6
|
7.5
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.1
|
14.0
|
8.1
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
5.8
|
7.1
|
4.3
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.1
|
2.5
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Genoa
0-2
Udinese
Dec 2025
Udinese
1-2
Genoa
Apr 2025
Genoa
1-0
Udinese
Dec 2024
Udinese
0-2
Genoa
Feb 2024
Genoa
2-0
Udinese
Oct 2023
Udinese
2-2
Genoa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.