Sunday 25 February 2018, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
49%
25%
26%
Home win
48.8%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
26.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.2% | 3.98 | — | — |
| Udinese | 26.0% | 3.85 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.9% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.1% | 16.37 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.6% | 4.85 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.3% | 3.00 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.0% | 5.88 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / Udinese | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Udinese | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.1
|
5.8
|
3.9
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.7
|
11.8
|
6.7
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.0
|
9.6
|
5.7
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.6
|
5.5
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
2.3
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2023
Udinese
2-0
Sampdoria
Jan 2023
Sampdoria
0-1
Udinese
Mar 2022
Udinese
2-1
Sampdoria
Oct 2021
Sampdoria
3-3
Udinese
May 2021
Udinese
0-1
Sampdoria
Jan 2021
Sampdoria
2-1
Udinese
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.