Wednesday 24 January 2018, 21:45
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
23%
24%
53%
Home win
23.5%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
52.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 23.5% | 4.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.0% | 4.16 | — | — |
| AS Roma | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.10 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.0% | 5.26 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.8% | 5.33 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| No | 41.2% | 2.42 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria / Draw | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Sampdoria / AS Roma | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / AS Roma | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
8.4
|
8.3
|
5.1
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
5.1
|
11.2
|
9.8
|
6.0
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
3.4
|
6.2
|
5.7
|
3.5
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
1.3
|
2.4
|
2.2
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2023
AS Roma
3-0
Sampdoria
Oct 2022
Sampdoria
0-1
AS Roma
Apr 2022
Sampdoria
0-1
AS Roma
Dec 2021
AS Roma
1-1
Sampdoria
May 2021
Sampdoria
2-0
AS Roma
Jan 2021
AS Roma
1-0
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.