Saturday 23 December 2017, 16:00
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
73%
16%
10%
Home win
73.4%
Draw
16.5%
Away win
10.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.5% | 6.07 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 10.2% | 9.85 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.4% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.6% | 27.49 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.8% | 7.24 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Napoli / Sampdoria | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.6
|
2.4
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.8
|
7.6
|
3.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.5
|
9.2
|
4.0
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.0
|
7.9
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.8
|
5.1
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.0
|
2.6
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jun 2023
Napoli
2-0
Sampdoria
Jan 2023
Sampdoria
0-2
Napoli
Jan 2022
Napoli
1-0
Sampdoria
Sep 2021
Sampdoria
0-4
Napoli
Apr 2021
Sampdoria
0-2
Napoli
Dec 2020
Napoli
2-1
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.