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Sunday 21 January 2018, 21:45 San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza Full time
1–1
HT 0–1
36% 27% 36%
Home win
36.2%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
36.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter 36.2% 2.77
Draw 27.3% 3.66
AS Roma 36.5% 2.74

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.5% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.5% 13.29
Over 1.5 75.7% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.3% 4.11
Over 2.5 50.4% 1.98
Under 2.5 49.6% 2.02
Over 3.5 28.4% 3.52
Under 3.5 71.6% 1.40
Over 4.5 13.6% 7.37
Under 4.5 86.4% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.4% 1.80
No 44.6% 2.24

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter / Draw 63.5% 1.57
Inter / AS Roma 72.7% 1.38
Draw / AS Roma 63.8% 1.57

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.5
8.4
6.2
2.8
0.9
0.3
1
8.4
13.0
8.3
3.7
1.3
0.3
2
6.1
8.2
5.6
2.5
0.8
0.2
3
2.7
3.7
2.5
1.1
0.4
0.1
4
0.9
1.2
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Inter goals. Columns: AS Roma goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.