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Friday 5 January 2018, 21:45 Stadio Artemio Franchi Full time
1–1
HT 0–0
33% 26% 40%
Home win
33.5%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
40.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina 33.5% 2.99
Draw 26.0% 3.84
Inter 40.5% 2.47

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.9% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.1% 16.33
Over 1.5 79.4% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.6% 4.86
Over 2.5 55.7% 1.80
Under 2.5 44.3% 2.26
Over 3.5 33.3% 3.00
Under 3.5 66.7% 1.50
Over 4.5 17.0% 5.87
Under 4.5 83.0% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.4% 1.68
No 40.6% 2.46

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina / Draw 59.5% 1.68
Fiorentina / Inter 74.0% 1.35
Draw / Inter 66.5% 1.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.1
7.7
6.4
3.3
1.3
0.4
1
6.8
12.2
8.8
4.5
1.7
0.5
2
5.2
7.9
6.1
3.1
1.2
0.4
3
2.4
3.6
2.8
1.4
0.5
0.2
4
0.8
1.3
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Fiorentina goals. Columns: Inter goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.