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Saturday 3 February 2018, 19:00 Luigi Ferraris Full time
1–1
HT 1–1
46% 24% 30%
Home win
46.0%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
30.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sampdoria 46.0% 2.17
Draw 23.5% 4.25
Torino 30.5% 3.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.0% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.0% 24.86
Over 1.5 85.5% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.5% 6.91
Over 2.5 65.4% 1.53
Under 2.5 34.6% 2.89
Over 3.5 43.5% 2.30
Under 3.5 56.5% 1.77
Over 4.5 25.0% 4.00
Under 4.5 75.0% 1.33

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 66.3% 1.51
No 33.7% 2.96

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sampdoria / Draw 69.5% 1.44
Sampdoria / Torino 76.5% 1.31
Draw / Torino 54.0% 1.85

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.0
4.6
3.9
1.9
0.7
0.2
1
5.9
10.2
7.2
3.6
1.3
0.4
2
6.0
9.0
6.8
3.4
1.3
0.4
3
3.8
5.6
4.2
2.1
0.8
0.2
4
1.8
2.6
2.0
1.0
0.4
0.1
5
0.7
1.0
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Sampdoria goals. Columns: Torino goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.