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Saturday 6 January 2018, 13:30 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
3–0
HT 1–0
53% 24% 23%
Home win
52.5%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
23.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 52.5% 1.90
Draw 24.0% 4.17
Bologna 23.5% 4.26

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.5% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.5% 18.23
Over 1.5 81.1% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.9% 5.29
Over 2.5 58.3% 1.72
Under 2.5 41.7% 2.40
Over 3.5 35.9% 2.79
Under 3.5 64.1% 1.56
Over 4.5 18.9% 5.29
Under 4.5 81.1% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.9% 1.70
No 41.1% 2.43

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 76.5% 1.31
Torino / Bologna 76.0% 1.32
Draw / Bologna 47.5% 2.11

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.5
5.1
3.4
1.3
0.4
0.1
1
8.3
11.2
6.2
2.4
0.7
0.2
2
8.3
9.8
5.7
2.2
0.7
0.2
3
5.1
6.0
3.5
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
2.4
2.8
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
5
0.9
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Bologna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.