Skip to content
Sunday 18 February 2018, 16:00 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Full time
2–1
HT 1–1
46% 27% 27%
Home win
45.8%
Draw
27.4%
Away win
26.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna 45.8% 2.19
Draw 27.4% 3.65
Sassuolo 26.9% 3.72

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.7% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.3% 11.98
Over 1.5 73.5% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.5% 3.78
Over 2.5 47.5% 2.10
Under 2.5 52.5% 1.91
Over 3.5 25.9% 3.87
Under 3.5 74.1% 1.35
Over 4.5 11.9% 8.39
Under 4.5 88.1% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.0% 1.92
No 48.0% 2.09

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna / Draw 73.1% 1.37
Bologna / Sassuolo 72.6% 1.38
Draw / Sassuolo 54.2% 1.84

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.3
7.5
4.5
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
10.6
13.0
6.7
2.4
0.7
0.1
2
8.4
9.2
5.0
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
4.2
4.6
2.5
0.9
0.2
0.1
4
1.6
1.7
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bologna goals. Columns: Sassuolo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.