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Sunday 11 February 2018, 16:00 San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza Full time
2–1
HT 1–1
65% 21% 14%
Home win
65.1%
Draw
21.3%
Away win
13.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter 65.1% 1.54
Draw 21.3% 4.69
Bologna 13.6% 7.33

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.8% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.2% 16.01
Over 1.5 78.6% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.4% 4.68
Over 2.5 54.7% 1.83
Under 2.5 45.3% 2.21
Over 3.5 32.4% 3.09
Under 3.5 67.6% 1.48
Over 4.5 16.3% 6.12
Under 4.5 83.7% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.5% 2.02
No 50.5% 1.98

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Inter / Draw 86.4% 1.16
Inter / Bologna 78.7% 1.27
Draw / Bologna 34.9% 2.86

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.2
4.1
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
11.0
10.2
4.0
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.8
9.8
4.0
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
8.1
6.7
2.8
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
4.1
3.4
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.7
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Inter goals. Columns: Bologna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.