Sunday 21 January 2018, 16:00
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Full time
60%
25%
15%
Home win
60.0%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
15.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.5% | 4.07 | — | — |
| Benevento | 15.4% | 6.47 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.8% | 11.33 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.3% | 4.11 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.9% | 9.14 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| No | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna / Draw | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Bologna / Benevento | 75.5% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Benevento | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.8
|
5.6
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.6
|
11.5
|
4.2
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.4
|
9.5
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.2
|
5.5
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.1
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.