Sunday 18 February 2018, 16:00
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
86%
10%
4%
Home win
85.9%
Draw
10.1%
Away win
3.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw | 10.1% | 9.87 | — | — |
| Spal | 3.9% | 25.46 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.3% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.7% | 36.40 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.4% | 8.81 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 31.2% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| No | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Napoli / Spal | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Draw / Spal | 14.1% | 7.11 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.7
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.4
|
4.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.0
|
7.1
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.4
|
7.3
|
2.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.6
|
5.7
|
1.7
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
6.0
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jun 2020
Napoli
3-1
Spal
Oct 2019
Spal
1-1
Napoli
May 2019
Spal
1-2
Napoli
Dec 2018
Napoli
1-0
Spal
Sep 2017
Spal
2-3
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.