Sunday 18 March 2018, 21:45
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
77%
17%
7%
Home win
76.6%
Draw
16.7%
Away win
6.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 76.6% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.7% | 5.99 | — | — |
| Genoa | 6.7% | 14.99 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.4% | 15.67 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.3% | 4.49 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.4% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.3% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.6% | 6.41 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.8% | 2.65 | — | — |
| No | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Napoli / Genoa | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 23.4% | 4.28 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.4
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.1
|
7.7
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.5
|
8.3
|
2.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.8
|
6.4
|
1.7
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.8
|
3.6
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.1
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Genoa
2-3
Napoli
Oct 2025
Napoli
2-1
Genoa
May 2025
Napoli
2-2
Genoa
Dec 2024
Genoa
1-2
Napoli
Feb 2024
Napoli
1-1
Genoa
Sep 2023
Genoa
2-2
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.