Saturday 17 February 2018, 21:45
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
20%
28%
52%
Home win
20.0%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
51.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 20.0% | 4.99 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Inter | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.0% | 9.07 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.5% | 5.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.1% | 12.40 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
| No | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Genoa / Inter | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Inter | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.0
|
14.3
|
11.0
|
5.4
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
7.6
|
12.9
|
8.9
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
3.4
|
4.9
|
3.6
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
1.3
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Inter
2-0
Genoa
Dec 2025
Genoa
1-2
Inter
Feb 2025
Inter
1-0
Genoa
Aug 2024
Genoa
2-2
Inter
Mar 2024
Inter
2-1
Genoa
Dec 2023
Genoa
1-1
Inter
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.