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Sunday 11 March 2018, 19:00 Luigi Ferraris Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
25% 31% 44%
Home win
25.5%
Draw
31.0%
Away win
43.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Genoa 25.5% 3.93
Draw 31.0% 3.22
AC Milan 43.5% 2.30

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.8% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.2% 7.56
Over 1.5 62.4% 1.60
Under 1.5 37.6% 2.66
Over 2.5 34.6% 2.89
Under 2.5 65.4% 1.53
Over 3.5 15.8% 6.31
Under 3.5 84.2% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.1% 16.51
Under 4.5 93.9% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.6% 2.40
No 58.4% 1.71

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Genoa / Draw 56.5% 1.77
Genoa / AC Milan 69.0% 1.45
Draw / AC Milan 74.5% 1.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.2
14.4
9.2
3.8
1.1
0.3
1
10.0
13.9
8.0
3.2
1.0
0.2
2
4.7
5.7
3.5
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
1.3
1.6
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Genoa goals. Columns: AC Milan goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.