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Saturday 24 February 2018, 19:00 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Full time
2–0
HT 0–0
42% 31% 27%
Home win
41.6%
Draw
30.9%
Away win
27.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna 41.6% 2.40
Draw 30.9% 3.23
Genoa 27.5% 3.64

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.3% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.7% 7.88
Over 1.5 63.6% 1.57
Under 1.5 36.4% 2.74
Over 2.5 35.8% 2.79
Under 2.5 64.2% 1.56
Over 3.5 16.7% 6.00
Under 3.5 83.3% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.5% 15.39
Under 4.5 93.5% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.0% 2.32
No 57.0% 1.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bologna / Draw 72.5% 1.38
Bologna / Genoa 69.1% 1.45
Draw / Genoa 58.4% 1.71

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.7
10.2
5.1
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
13.5
14.0
6.1
1.9
0.4
0.1
2
8.6
8.0
3.7
1.1
0.3
0.0
3
3.5
3.2
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bologna goals. Columns: Genoa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.