Wednesday 4 April 2018, 19:30
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
40%
28%
32%
Home win
40.0%
Draw
28.4%
Away win
31.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
| Sassuolo | 31.6% | 3.16 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.0% | 11.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.9% | 9.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| No | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Chievo / Sassuolo | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Sassuolo | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.0
|
8.8
|
5.5
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.2
|
13.5
|
7.4
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.3
|
8.5
|
5.0
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
3.8
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Sassuolo
4-0
Chievo
Nov 2018
Chievo
0-2
Sassuolo
Oct 2017
Sassuolo
0-0
Chievo
Feb 2017
Sassuolo
1-3
Chievo
Sep 2016
Chievo
2-1
Sassuolo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.