Sunday 18 March 2018, 16:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
62%
24%
14%
Home win
61.9%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
14.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.6% | 4.23 | — | — |
| Chievo | 14.5% | 6.91 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.3% | 12.06 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.7% | 3.74 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.8% | 8.46 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
| No | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Chievo | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 38.1% | 2.63 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.3
|
5.2
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.3
|
11.1
|
4.0
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.6
|
9.5
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.6
|
5.8
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.4
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Chievo
1-2
AC Milan
Oct 2018
AC Milan
3-1
Chievo
Oct 2017
Chievo
1-4
AC Milan
Mar 2017
AC Milan
3-1
Chievo
Oct 2016
Chievo
1-3
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.