Sunday 7 October 2018, 16:00
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
Full time
66%
21%
13%
Home win
66.5%
Draw
21.0%
Away win
12.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.0% | 4.76 | — | — |
| Chievo | 12.5% | 7.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.5% | 15.30 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.2% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.5% | 6.44 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| No | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan / Draw | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| AC Milan / Chievo | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 33.5% | 2.98 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.5
|
4.0
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.6
|
10.0
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.5
|
9.7
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.5
|
6.6
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.4
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.8
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Chievo
1-2
AC Milan
Mar 2018
AC Milan
3-2
Chievo
Oct 2017
Chievo
1-4
AC Milan
Mar 2017
AC Milan
3-1
Chievo
Oct 2016
Chievo
1-3
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.