Sunday 30 September 2018, 21:30
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Full time
30%
27%
43%
Home win
30.3%
Draw
27.1%
Away win
42.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.1% | 3.69 | — | — |
| AC Milan | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.6% | 13.20 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.5% | 4.09 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.4% | 7.44 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.6% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
| No | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo / Draw | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Sassuolo / AC Milan | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / AC Milan | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.6
|
9.4
|
7.4
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
7.5
|
12.9
|
9.0
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.0
|
7.4
|
5.4
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.0
|
3.0
|
2.2
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Sassuolo
2-0
AC Milan
Dec 2025
AC Milan
2-2
Sassuolo
Apr 2024
Sassuolo
3-3
AC Milan
Dec 2023
AC Milan
1-0
Sassuolo
Jan 2023
AC Milan
2-5
Sassuolo
Aug 2022
Sassuolo
0-0
AC Milan
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.