Sunday 2 September 2018, 21:30
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Full time
41%
31%
28%
Home win
41.0%
Draw
30.9%
Away win
28.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.9% | 3.23 | — | — |
| Genoa | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.6% | 7.91 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.3% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.9% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.8% | 5.96 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.6% | 15.27 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
| No | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo / Draw | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Sassuolo / Genoa | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.6
|
10.3
|
5.2
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.3
|
14.1
|
6.2
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.4
|
7.9
|
3.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
3.2
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Genoa
2-1
Sassuolo
Nov 2025
Sassuolo
1-2
Genoa
May 2024
Genoa
2-1
Sassuolo
Dec 2023
Sassuolo
1-2
Genoa
Jan 2022
Sassuolo
1-1
Genoa
Oct 2021
Genoa
2-2
Sassuolo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.