Sunday 6 May 2018, 16:00
Luigi Ferraris
Full time
27%
30%
42%
Home win
27.4%
Draw
30.4%
Away win
42.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa | 27.4% | 3.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.0% | 8.33 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.9% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.4% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.8% | 5.61 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.1% | 14.04 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| No | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa / Draw | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Genoa / Fiorentina | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.0
|
13.1
|
8.6
|
3.6
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
9.8
|
14.0
|
8.2
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.0
|
6.2
|
3.9
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.6
|
2.0
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Fiorentina
0-0
Genoa
Nov 2025
Genoa
2-2
Fiorentina
Feb 2025
Fiorentina
2-1
Genoa
Oct 2024
Genoa
0-1
Fiorentina
Apr 2024
Fiorentina
1-1
Genoa
Aug 2023
Genoa
1-4
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.