Sunday 15 April 2018, 13:30
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
60%
23%
16%
Home win
60.4%
Draw
23.3%
Away win
16.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.3% | 4.29 | — | — |
| Spal | 16.3% | 6.13 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.1% | 14.16 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.5% | 4.26 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.4% | 6.96 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / Spal | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Spal | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.1
|
5.0
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.4
|
11.1
|
4.6
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
11.3
|
9.8
|
4.3
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.1
|
6.1
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.3
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Aug 2020
Spal
1-3
Fiorentina
Jan 2020
Fiorentina
1-0
Spal
Feb 2019
Spal
1-4
Fiorentina
Sep 2018
Fiorentina
3-0
Spal
Nov 2017
Spal
1-1
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.