Saturday 7 April 2018, 19:00
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
61%
23%
16%
Home win
60.8%
Draw
22.7%
Away win
16.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.7% | 4.41 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 16.5% | 6.07 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.4% | 15.74 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.5% | 4.64 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.1% | 3.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.1% | 6.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| No | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Fiorentina | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.4
|
4.6
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.5
|
10.8
|
4.7
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.8
|
9.9
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.0
|
6.4
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.4
|
3.1
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
AS Roma
4-0
Fiorentina
Oct 2025
Fiorentina
1-2
AS Roma
May 2025
AS Roma
1-0
Fiorentina
Oct 2024
Fiorentina
5-1
AS Roma
Mar 2024
Fiorentina
2-2
AS Roma
Dec 2023
AS Roma
1-1
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.