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Sunday 18 March 2018, 16:00 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
1–2
HT 0–0
43% 25% 32%
Home win
43.3%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
31.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 43.3% 2.31
Draw 24.9% 4.02
Fiorentina 31.8% 3.14

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.9% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.1% 19.53
Over 1.5 82.3% 1.22
Under 1.5 17.7% 5.64
Over 2.5 60.0% 1.67
Under 2.5 40.0% 2.50
Over 3.5 37.7% 2.66
Under 3.5 62.3% 1.60
Over 4.5 20.3% 4.93
Under 4.5 79.7% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.4% 1.60
No 37.6% 2.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 68.2% 1.47
Torino / Fiorentina 75.1% 1.33
Draw / Fiorentina 56.7% 1.76

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.1
5.7
4.5
2.1
0.8
0.2
1
6.9
11.4
7.6
3.6
1.3
0.4
2
6.4
9.0
6.4
3.0
1.1
0.3
3
3.6
5.1
3.6
1.7
0.6
0.2
4
1.5
2.1
1.5
0.7
0.3
0.1
5
0.5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Fiorentina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.