Sunday 11 March 2018, 13:30
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
74%
17%
9%
Home win
73.9%
Draw
16.9%
Away win
9.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.9% | 5.90 | — | — |
| Benevento | 9.1% | 10.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.7% | 21.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.1% | 5.86 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.4% | 4.67 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
| No | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / Benevento | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Benevento | 26.1% | 3.84 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.7
|
2.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.7
|
8.1
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.3
|
9.2
|
3.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.0
|
7.4
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.0
|
4.5
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.9
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2021
Benevento
1-4
Fiorentina
Nov 2020
Fiorentina
0-1
Benevento
Oct 2017
Benevento
0-3
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.