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Sunday 28 January 2018, 16:00 Stadio Artemio Franchi Full time
71% 18% 11%
Home win
70.6%
Draw
18.3%
Away win
11.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina 70.6% 1.42
Draw 18.3% 5.47
Hellas Verona 11.2% 8.96

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.3% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.7% 21.42
Over 1.5 83.0% 1.20
Under 1.5 17.0% 5.90
Over 2.5 61.5% 1.63
Under 2.5 38.5% 2.60
Over 3.5 39.2% 2.55
Under 3.5 60.8% 1.64
Over 4.5 21.5% 4.65
Under 4.5 78.5% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.6% 1.94
No 48.4% 2.07

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina / Draw 88.8% 1.13
Fiorentina / Hellas Verona 81.7% 1.22
Draw / Hellas Verona 29.4% 3.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.7
3.0
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
9.3
8.6
3.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
11.5
9.6
4.0
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
8.9
7.5
3.1
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
5.2
4.4
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
2.4
2.0
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Fiorentina goals. Columns: Hellas Verona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.