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Friday 9 February 2018, 21:45 Stadio Artemio Franchi Full time
17% 23% 60%
Home win
16.9%
Draw
23.0%
Away win
60.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina 16.9% 5.92
Draw 23.0% 4.35
Juventus 60.1% 1.66

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.5% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.5% 15.39
Over 1.5 78.1% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.9% 4.56
Over 2.5 53.9% 1.86
Under 2.5 46.1% 2.17
Over 3.5 31.6% 3.17
Under 3.5 68.4% 1.46
Over 4.5 15.8% 6.34
Under 4.5 84.2% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.9% 1.93
No 48.1% 2.08

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Fiorentina / Draw 39.9% 2.51
Fiorentina / Juventus 77.0% 1.30
Draw / Juventus 83.1% 1.20

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.5
10.6
10.8
6.9
3.3
1.3
1
4.8
11.0
9.9
6.3
3.0
1.2
2
2.5
4.8
4.6
2.9
1.4
0.5
3
0.8
1.5
1.4
0.9
0.4
0.2
4
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Fiorentina goals. Columns: Juventus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.