Sunday 11 February 2018, 21:45
Stadio Olimpico
Full time
86%
11%
3%
Home win
86.3%
Draw
10.5%
Away win
3.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw | 10.5% | 9.49 | — | — |
| Benevento | 3.1% | 31.87 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.0% | 24.76 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.8% | 6.32 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.3% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.4% | 4.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.6% | 1.30 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
| No | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma / Draw | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
| AS Roma / Benevento | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Draw / Benevento | 13.7% | 7.31 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.0
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.5
|
4.9
|
1.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.3
|
6.6
|
1.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
14.5
|
6.2
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
10.4
|
4.4
|
1.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
5.9
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.