Sunday 18 February 2018, 19:00
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
51%
25%
24%
Home win
51.0%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
23.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Fiorentina | 23.6% | 4.23 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.7% | 14.82 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.4% | 4.47 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.9% | 3.24 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.3% | 6.55 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| No | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Atalanta / Fiorentina | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Fiorentina | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.7
|
6.0
|
3.6
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.7
|
12.0
|
6.2
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.9
|
9.7
|
5.3
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.0
|
5.5
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.2
|
2.4
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Fiorentina
1-1
Atalanta
Nov 2025
Atalanta
2-0
Fiorentina
Mar 2025
Fiorentina
1-0
Atalanta
Sep 2024
Atalanta
3-2
Fiorentina
Jun 2024
Atalanta
2-3
Fiorentina
Sep 2023
Fiorentina
3-2
Atalanta
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.