Sunday 4 February 2018, 16:00
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
65%
21%
13%
Home win
65.2%
Draw
21.4%
Away win
13.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.4% | 4.67 | — | — |
| Chievo | 13.4% | 7.49 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.5% | 15.33 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.1% | 4.52 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.4% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.3% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.6% | 6.41 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.4% | 2.06 | — | — |
| No | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Atalanta / Chievo | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Chievo | 34.8% | 2.88 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.5
|
4.2
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.4
|
10.2
|
3.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.1
|
9.7
|
3.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.2
|
6.6
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.1
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.7
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Atalanta
1-1
Chievo
Oct 2018
Chievo
1-5
Atalanta
Sep 2017
Chievo
1-1
Atalanta
May 2017
Atalanta
1-0
Chievo
Jan 2017
Chievo
1-4
Atalanta
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.