Sunday 21 October 2018, 16:00
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Full time
22%
27%
51%
Home win
21.7%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
51.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo | 21.7% | 4.60 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.2% | 3.68 | — | — |
| Atalanta | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.3% | 10.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.3% | 4.30 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.3% | 9.74 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
| No | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chievo / Draw | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Chievo / Atalanta | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Atalanta | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.3
|
12.5
|
10.2
|
5.2
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
7.1
|
12.8
|
9.3
|
4.8
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
3.6
|
5.5
|
4.3
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
1.1
|
1.7
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Atalanta
1-1
Chievo
Feb 2018
Atalanta
1-0
Chievo
Sep 2017
Chievo
1-1
Atalanta
May 2017
Atalanta
1-0
Chievo
Jan 2017
Chievo
1-4
Atalanta
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.