Sunday 7 October 2018, 16:00
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
53%
25%
22%
Home win
53.0%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
21.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.4% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 21.6% | 4.63 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.4% | 13.48 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.7% | 7.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| No | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Atalanta / Sampdoria | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.4
|
6.1
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.7
|
12.1
|
5.7
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.7
|
9.7
|
4.9
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.5
|
5.5
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
2.3
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2023
Atalanta
2-0
Sampdoria
Aug 2022
Sampdoria
0-2
Atalanta
Feb 2022
Atalanta
4-0
Sampdoria
Oct 2021
Sampdoria
1-3
Atalanta
Feb 2021
Sampdoria
0-2
Atalanta
Oct 2020
Atalanta
1-3
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.