Wednesday 26 September 2018, 22:00
Sardegna Arena
Full time
31%
26%
42%
Home win
31.1%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
42.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 31.1% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
| Sampdoria | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.7% | 14.87 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.0% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.4% | 6.50 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| No | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari / Draw | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Cagliari / Sampdoria | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Sampdoria | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.7
|
8.5
|
7.1
|
3.6
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
7.0
|
12.5
|
9.0
|
4.6
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
4.9
|
7.5
|
5.8
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.1
|
3.2
|
2.5
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
1.0
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2022
Sampdoria
1-2
Cagliari
Oct 2021
Cagliari
3-1
Sampdoria
Mar 2021
Sampdoria
2-2
Cagliari
Nov 2020
Cagliari
2-0
Sampdoria
Jul 2020
Sampdoria
3-0
Cagliari
Dec 2019
Cagliari
4-3
Sampdoria
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.